LEGISLATIVE FISCAL ESTIMATE
SENATE, No. 1407
STATE OF NEW JERSEY
221st LEGISLATURE
DATED: DECEMBER 2, 2024
SUMMARY
Synopsis: Requires Medicaid coverage for community violence prevention
services; Requires DOH to approve training and certification program
for violence prevention professionals.
Type of Impact: Annual impact on State costs and revenue.
Agencies Affected: Department of Human Services; Department of Health.
Office of Legislative Services Estimate
Fiscal Impact Annual
State Cost Impact Indeterminate
State Revenue Impact Indeterminate
The Office of Legislative Services (OLS) estimates that this bill will cause the State to incur
annual Medicaid costs to provide community violence prevention services to certain
individuals who receive health care services under the State’s Medicaid program. The cost to
provide these services cannot be quantified as: (1) the reimbursement rate for these services is
not established under the bill; and (2) the number of individuals who will receive these services
is unpredictable. These State costs will be offset by an increase in federal Medicaid
reimbursements.
By way of context, based upon cost projections for an identical Medicaid benefit in
Connecticut, the bill could cost the State $600,000 in net annual State expenses, provided that
the State establishes a reimbursement rate of $12.65 per 15-minute block of service. The OLS
notes that research has also shown with the implementation of similar benefits, it is possible
that these expenditures may result in an indeterminate decrease in medical costs covered under
the Medicaid program associated with repeated injury, trauma, or poor health following
victimization due to violence.
The OLS assumes that the Department of Health will be able to comply with the provisions of
the bill, regarding the approval of an accredited training and certification program for certified
Office of Legislative Services Legislative Budget and Finance Office
State House Annex Phone (609) 847-3105
P.O. Box 068 Fax (609) 777-2442
Trenton, New Jersey 08625 www.njleg.state.nj.us
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violence prevention professionals, under the department’s existing budget as such a task is
within the department’s current scope of responsibilities.
BILL DESCRIPTION
The bill requires Medicaid coverage for community violence prevention services to an
individual who has: 1) received medical treatment for an injury sustained as a result of an act of
community violence, and 2) been referred by a certified or licensed health care provider or social
services provider to receive community violence prevention services from a certified violence
prevention professional.
This bill also requires the Department of Health, within six months of the effective date of the
bill, to approve at least one accredited training and certification program for certified violence
prevention professionals.
FISCAL ANALYSIS
EXECUTIVE BRANCH
None received.
OFFICE OF LEGISLATIVE SERVICES
The OLS estimates that this bill will cause the State to incur annual Medicaid costs to provide
community violence prevention services to certain individuals who receive health care services
under the State’s Medicaid program. The cost to provide these services cannot be quantified as:
(1) the reimbursement rate for these services is not established under the bill; and (2) the number
of individuals who will receive these services is unpredictable. These State costs will be offset by
an increase in federal Medicaid reimbursements. By way of context, based upon cost projections
for an identical Medicaid benefit in Connecticut, the bill could cost the State $600,000 in net annual
State expenses, provided that the State establishes a reimbursement rate of $12.65 per 15-minute
block of service. The OLS notes that research has also shown with the implementation of similar
benefits, it is possible that these expenditures may result in an indeterminate decrease in medical
costs covered under the Medicaid program associated with repeated injury, trauma, or poor health
following victimization due to violence. The OLS assumes that the Department of Health will be
able to comply with the provisions of the bill, regarding the approval of an accredited training and
certification program for certified violence prevention professionals, under the department’s
existing budget as such a task is within the department’s current scope of responsibilities.
For context, the bill mirrors legislation adopted in Connecticut in June of 2021. According to
the Medicaid State Plan Amendment submitted by the Connecticut Department of Social Services
to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, the anticipated cost of the bill due to increased
state and federal Medicaid expenditures in State Fiscal Year 2024 is $630,388, which is based on
a reimbursement rate of $12.65 for each 15-minute block of services.
By way of comparison, Connecticut’s Medicaid enrollment as of August 2022 is 970,031,
while New Jersey’s enrollment for the same time is 1,890,250, roughly 100 percent more than
Connecticut’s enrollment. Moreover, as community violence prevention services are frequently
provided to individuals to prevent the spread of gun violence, the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention indicate that the two states have similar rates of gun deaths. Assuming an identical
reimbursement rate as Connecticut, and adjusting for the differences in Medicaid enrollment, it is
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estimated that this bill would result in an increase of $1.2 million in State and federal Medicaid
expenditures for New Jersey. To the extent that New Jersey’s reimbursement rate is higher, this
estimate will increase; to the extent that New Jersey’s reimbursement rate is lower, this estimate
will decrease.
It is possible that any increase in Medicaid expenditures under the bill may, over time, be offset
by certain cost savings. For example, a 2014 study examined the financial burden of violent injury
on the Medicaid program, specifically with the implementation of hospital-based violence
intervention programs services. Similar to community violence prevention programs, hospital-
based violence intervention programs are multidisciplinary programs that identify patients at risk
of repeat violent injury and link them with hospital- and community-based resources aimed at
addressing underlying risk factors for violence. At the time of the study, it was suggested that if
these services, costing $3,889 per patient, were provided to all violently injured hospitalized
Medicaid patients in a single year, estimated at 7,383 individuals nationally, the total cost would
be $29 million. However, due to the prevention of violent re-injury, violent retaliation, and other
adverse consequences associated with violent injury, the national saving to the Medicaid program
would be $69 million, for a net savings of $40 million. The OLS emphasizes that this example is
regarding the national Medicaid program under the context of hospital-based violence intervention
programs and not illustrative of the cost or cost savings of the bill in New Jersey.
Section: Human Services
Analyst: Sarah Schmidt
Lead Research Analyst
Approved: Thomas Koenig
Legislative Budget and Finance Officer
This legislative fiscal estimate has been produced by the Office of Legislative Services due to the
failure of the Executive Branch to respond to our request for a fiscal note.
This fiscal estimate has been prepared pursuant to P.L.1980, c.67 (C.52:13B-6 et seq.).
Statutes affected: Introduced: 30:4D-6